William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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ANOTHER SUPER TUESDAY – AT 9:53 A.M. ET:   Americans are already voting.  Today's vote will have a dramatic impact on both political parties.  On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders is once again showing real strength against Hillary Clinton.  As we reported last night, the gap between them in national polls has narrowed. 

Recently, Sanders upset Clinton in Michigan.  He has a shot at doing the same thing today in Illinois and Ohio.  While Hillary leads handily in Florida, in Ohio she's up by only about six points.  In Illinois, she may lead by only three.  Hillary leads strongly in North Carolina, but Bernie is leading in the latest Missouri polls, if only by a point or so.  The press continues to suppress any real information about Bernie's political background, which is far left, even more left than Obama.  And young people, indoctrinated in the fever swamps that have become our colleges, flock to him.  He come to save us, just like Obama.  At the same time, Hillary is decidedly unpopular, has an FBI probe hanging over her, and avoids the truth whenever possible.

On the GOP side, it may be a make-or-break day for the anti-Trump movement building within the party.  Trump will take the biggest prize, Florida, apparently by a wide margin.  Some polls have him up by 25 points.  That will knock Florida Senator Marco Rubio out of the race.  In Ohio, though, the state's Governor, John Kasich, is holding on to a slim lead of about five points.  If he can deny Trump the state of Ohio, the anti-Trump groups might still have a chance.  Trump is leading in North Carolina, and by about six in Illinois, but we have no late polling from Missouri.   

Some of the state polls have been fluid in both parties.  The disturbances at Trump rallies over the weekend may influence late deciders, but in what direction? 

It's been a campaign of surprises.  There are few firm predictions being made.

And what of Ted Cruz?  He is not leading in any of the polling done in today's major primary states.  However, if Rubio and Kasich are both knocked out in their home states, he could be the last man standing to take on Donald Trump, and perhaps force an open Republican convention in July.

March 15, 2016